Elections

How India can prevent unnatural political alliances

Praveen Chakravarty
July 18, 2023

Instead of the first-past-the-post system, voters should be able to choose Many of the Above from multiple candidates and parties could end need for opportunistic electoral alliances
alliance system

As an example, a voter in Uttar Pradesh (UP) has choices of four major parties — Samajwadi Party (SP), BJP, Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) and Congress — and a few smaller parties such as Apna Dal and Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD). (Representational Image)

Twenty-six opposition parties are in a meeting in Bengaluru. Ostensibly, the objective is to unite all the political parties that are ideologically opposed to the BJP to consolidate voter support for the 2024 national elections. At the same time, there are also 30 (apparently) other political parties in a meeting in Delhi, under the leadership of the ruling BJP, to consolidate an anti-Congress bloc. No one can make an honest case that the parties on either side of the ideological spectrum are natural alliance partners, who are in perfect harmony with each other.

While these meetings seemingly reflect ideological-political formations, at their root, the primary driving force for such unity and alliance efforts is arithmetic. The aim is to ensure that votes of one formation do not get divided and the goal is to minimise splitting of votes on each side. In its naked form, these initiatives are merely a political response to the arithmetic of the first-past-the-post (FPTP) electoral system in India’s extremely diverse political landscape. The fountainhead of such electoral alliances among dozens of natural and unnatural parties is the fact that more than 600 parties contest the general elections and nearly three dozen parties have at least one member in Parliament, a uniquely Indian characteristic among major democracies in the world.

There may be no need for such elaborate initiatives to forcibly form electoral alliances among political parties if India dwindled to a two-party democracy like many other nations or if it evolved a better electoral method that does not reward the splitting of votes. In an extremely diverse society such as India, the proliferation of hundreds of political parties is a reflection of the need for representation. So, Indian politics cannot be force-fitted into a two-party system like other democracies. The FPTP method is incongruous with India’s unique political diversity. An alternative voting method, called “approval voting”, which is more aligned to prevent the splitting of votes among numerous parties, can potentially obviate the need for such elaborate and complex alliance and unity-building initiatives.

As an example, a voter in Uttar Pradesh (UP) has choices of four major parties — Samajwadi Party (SP), BJPBahujan Samaj Party (BSP) and Congress — and a few smaller parties such as Apna Dal and Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD). She is expected to choose just one among all these choices to cast her vote for. She may choose to vote for Apna Dal, which, in turn, may be ideologically aligned with the BJP. But a vote for Apna Dal is deemed as a vote denied for the BJP in the FPTP voting method. So, it is tempting for the BJP to lure Apna Dal into a pre-poll alliance to ensure consolidation of such votes, even though there is no guarantee that every Apna Dal voter will automatically transfer their vote to a BJP-Apna Dal alliance.

Now, what if the voter in UP was not forced to choose just one party to vote for but was free to choose as many parties as she wants to? That is, the voter can choose both Apna Dal and BJP (say), indicating that she is agnostic between these two. This means that a vote for Apna Dal is not necessarily a vote denied for BJP and an explicit alliance between the two parties is not needed, since those who wish to vote for both are free to do so.

This system, called “approval voting”, is a well-researched voting methodology that is used in elections with multiple credible choices, such as in the United Nations, internal party primaries in the US, and sometimes in the election of the Pope. The winner is determined by the candidate with the greatest number of “approvals” or tick marks. In the Indian context, we can think of approval voting as MOTA (Many Of The Above), the mirror image of NOTA that we already have on every ballot.

Approval voting is irrelevant in a two-party democracy, which is the reason why it is not in vogue. But for India, MOTA is a more elegant way to reduce voter fragmentation rather than complex and unstable electoral alliances. Voters do not have to rank their preference of candidates but instead can choose as many candidates they approve of. It is simple and easy for the average Indian voter to just tick all parties that she wants to vote for.

Research and experience in other countries have shown that MOTA is very powerful in producing outcomes that are acceptable to a greater majority in a multi-party democracy. When there are no restrictions on the number of candidates a voter can choose, it drives voters to eliminate those that they completely disapprove of and express their approval of as many as they wish. When, say, the Congress, SP and BSP come together in a pre-poll alliance, they are essentially asking the voters to be agnostic in their choices among the three.

MOTA legitimises this agnosticism without the need for a formal alliance and the risk of keeping that alliance post-election. MOTA can fundamentally change the dynamics of complicated political alliances, seat sharing, luring of parties post elections and institutionalisation of the politics of money and fear. One big travesty of Indian politics today is the deceit foisted on voters by political parties that win seats under one alliance and then switch to the other side post the election, under the mistaken notion that the seats they won are entirely theirs. MOTA can be a befitting solution to end “aya Ram gaya Ram” woes in Indian politics.

Unity talks among political parties for an election are a manifestation of India’s political diversity and its FPTP voting method. India’s political diversity is both a necessity and an inevitability. Replacing the FPTP method with MOTA can fundamentally alter Indian politics and society for the better by reducing opportunistic political alliances in favour of ideological politics.

https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/how-india-can-prevent-unnatural-political-alliances-8844847/

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